Seppuka Referendum?

Summary.

Look up the meaning of the first word of this heading and it is a contentious view perhaps but it is difficult to see how it cannot apply to an event that is absolutely unnecessary, foisted upon an electorate, by politicians, primarily the conservative party of the UK, which is now justifiably ripping itself apart to satisfy some individuals own particular grasp for power and who will not suffer the fate they are cajoling the electorate to follow. Much is of made of the undemocratic administrative mess imposed upon the UK by being a member of the EU and focuses on the lack of sovereign control of all things to deal with the UK’s own affairs and migration pressures. The pejorative blame for the lack of control and all that is wrong with the UK’s current state of affairs is placed solely on the EU – EC. It is an audacious fabrication designed to absolve politicians for their own lack of participation in constructive management of the social impacts and economy of the direction of European developments. They have been absent from the need to use powers that they do have for it suited their own dogmatic policies of laissez-faire up to now and the electorate are being asked to pick up the pain or cost, one way or the other. The electorate do not appreciate that there is no chance that the prime controversial issue for both ‘camps’ will have a solution. See Enter the Indefinite – In or Out.

One cannot but help notice that after being off site, it is sometimes not amusing to be once more immersed in the reality of time not passed. So here we are to witness what may be a momentous occasion, with an agenda of unknown consequences secreted in an act of unwarranted political duplicity masked as an orchestrated democratic choice which could well be considered as the longest participatory Harakiri / Seppuka act in the history of a country. In preparation for the act there are many observers, players, supporters, knife wielders, and tens of thousands likely to be sufferers for the result of the specious foundation of this democratic choice.

Of course there is a plethora of opinions and scenarios to bolster any proffered prejudicial conclusion; yet all of which are totally worthless dependent as they are on administrative participants that have no effective pronouncement in the actual deciding act but a huge eventual impact on the importance of the outcome. In the cause of spurious sovereignty, unrequited immigration angst, contestable beneficial economy diversity, problematic legislate independence and overarching individual personified hubris, it is that damn referendum of the 23rd June 2016, which is about to be voted for, ‘Remain or Leave’.

It is quite unbelievable that this capricious mendacious act, proffered for so long by prime ministers to solely maintain influence against their own party system has not been dropped but the chimera now unleashed by this event has taken on a unpredictable and unprecedented overwrought questionable lack of veracity by opposing exponents that the difficult choice of leave or remain forced on the proletariat, has left behind all the hyperbole and resides in just one contentious issue; do people reject immigration and all its sins or virtues.

It was assumed that the populace would be willing to hear, with some degree of serious thought, all the variety of supporting ‘fact’ and be able to reach balanced decision on the pros vs. cons of leave or remain however the unmitigated mess and antics of the political establishment in slating the ‘facts’ has become so inundating that many people are so fed up with the indivisibility of ‘facts’ that it has caused them to revert to a much simpler view of what is being decided upon.  So contention has the presentation of ‘facts’ been that it is uncertain that a majority of the UK populace realise that they are being driven down a road that they have little grasp of just what future that they are being led into, wrapped as it is in fulminated hubris by a cadre of self appointed gurus of political taint upon subjects about which they are ill prepared in being able to respond to salient questions with any definite statements that identify the state of affair's after, predominately, a leave vote.

Despite all the explanations and counter clarification on the initial tendentious range of issues that are being laid out by the leave and remain campaigners what has been lost is the competitive truth that is now becoming self evident and brought in much sharper focus since 2007/8. Although a measure of criticism can be expressed over the undemocratic nature, unaccountability, and dysfunctional link between those with the administrative vision directing the EU and the actuality of the social environment; the insidious degradation that has taken place in the social fabric and expectations has been the fault of political parties throughout and since the foundation of the 1975 members. The UK has been particularly adept in pandering more to their own party dogma and not looking to the integration of whatever benefits are deemed to flow from the EU; to assist the lifting of the wealth of all.

Although one of the benefits claimed by being a party to the EU has been the ‘expansive economy’ and GDP ‘improvements’; to have a country that is now carrying the largest debt and deficit of any western economy that is unlikely to ever be able to redress it without further devaluations and extensive austerity, is not the measure of a success story. So blame Europe, not the home grown incompetence of Politicians.

Some of the issues being fought over like the shortage of school places, school having to deal with a multiplicity of non English speakers, NHS being stretched and abused by health tourism, lack of housing, less jobs and the effects of the change in social dynamics in certain areas of the country are all as a result of unmanaged immigration and disingenuous UK dogma politicians. So blame Europe not MPs.

All of these issues could have been tackled by the UK governments but were not done so in preference to holding to sectarian dogma policies and corporate lobbyist persuasion. Not one single thing was done to consider the infrastructure requirements of the approximately 5m immigrants intake by the UK since 2000, (330K alone in 2015/16) no mass social housing build, no more schools built, no advanced specialist training, no notice taken over concerns being voiced with corrosive multiculturalism, lack of proactive integration effort and the effect of local culture inundation, nor the haemorrhaging loss of stable employment and the stealthy disenfranchisement of the disillusioned no-class etc. So blame Europe, not home grown incompetence of Politicians.       

Much of the above could well be a replay to the situation of the referendum EEC tussles of pre 1974, or compare with 1983 with the “longest suicide note in history” claimed by labour MP Gerald Kaufman on labours 1983 manifesto, which proposed to counter the effects of a dangerous recession with an “emergency programme of action” for a 5 years investment plan into industry, with limits to imports to protect key industrial sectors and measures to stifle currency speculation and liberate exported capital back into the UK for indigenous use; all to save industrial capacity, manufacturing sectors and employment. Then immigration was not a hyped issue, now it is the predominate one.

There is little doubt that immigration is the main driving consideration with this current referendum and the leave will win on this score alone. For most of the electorate the economy and the benefits of being in the EU are largely intangible and for a majority it might well be the case that they have not had any overwhelming benefit at all of any ‘trickle-down’ effect from the minority that have done very well from the wealth generation that flooded the ‘city’, financial institutions, property market and ‘captains’ of industry; all of whom, by a large percentage, are particular keen to have the UK remain in the EU. It is not surprising, why?

It is a confident trick played on the UK populace that the EU has been a force for good, that it has raised living standards, it has kept the peace, it has raised prosperity and secured employment for the many more had it not existed however for the proletariat, if one compares the state of play over the past 40 years to that which is increasingly afflicting the UK and to a lesser extent some Europeans today; – reduction in living standards, pressurised social security, less infrastructure investment, incomes that in real terms are less now than 40 years ago, deskilling by commerce and industry, exported productivity, higher taxes, corporate usury and creeping higher unemployment particular for the young, does not offer a vision of sustainable expectations. So blame Europe, not the home grown ineptitude of UK Politicians. 

It (mass labour movement) has over the years been politically welcomed and expedient to have a high volume of ‘flexible’ labour, foreign migrants or not. It has kept wage demand low, it has kept the power of organised labour ineffectual, it has helped prop up the lack of investment in industries, it has raised GDP with consumptive spending, it has helped disguise the devaluation of the currency by 25%+, it has led to European social discomfort with threatening right-wing extremism and capitulation to austerity caused by the political administrative executive; yet it is the most divisive issue now, first only to islamaphobia and one that although it could be controlled by imposing an immigration moratorium, by say a certificate of registration for seasonal employment, stricter vetting, rapid repatriation of undesirables and illegal opportunist, limitation on the intake of lone migrant - refugee ‘children’ that later gain a family to join them, plus outright ban on unwarranted economic migrants from where ever. This had to be matched with substantial proactive measure like indigenous up skilling, training, investment, an industrial strategy and overriding British / English inculcation foremost. None of this has or will be likely to happen and whether the UK remains or leaves, the mass movement of people into the EU or little old UK will not stop.

There is one thing that will force a stop, but no one wants to see it coming. So blame Europe, not the home grown venal opportunism of UK Politicians. 

© Renot

186162316

24^th June 2016.                        

Well the deed is done.

Not once has any western country in modern times so divisively chosen to show the now exposed simmering discontentment at a range of politically propagated affects over the years, driven by partition dogmas that disregarded the warnings society was experiencing in favour of its own ‘superior’ self importance, promulgated affects taken as right to be enacted from undemocratic mandates. A majority democratic decision of a 72.20% turnout (32m) of 46.5m eligible voters with a small margin for 'leavers' of 51.9% (17M) against 48.1%(15m) ‘remains’ cannot be said to be a healthy sign when 28% (14m) took no part. It is the frailty of the democratic and representative process but in a numerical majority system a win is a win. It is evidently clear that the shock of this result has caught even the ‘leavers’ unprepared and the ‘remains’ are shocked, no one know just what has been won or how to incorporate this result into sensible workable policies to manage the tortuous negotiating to follow eventually to soon find that they have very little manoeuvring ability given the prime limiting objective that has been handed to them; conditional to everything else, i.e. the control of immigration!

Although this referendum has been presented as a Remain / Leave choice linked to spurious contested issues, what has taken place, wholly unexpected by the establishment, is the proletariats view of the referendum, the fact that it morphed into a referendum on both governmental parties and the actual experiential effects seen and ignored in many areas outside the London bubble. It amounted to a two finger excoriating gesture, a curse on all your houses!

This decision has been an unedifying example of the worst aspect of representational democracy and one that has to a great extent comprised of a generational vote were the older generation has done an immense disservice to a younger one. It is one of desperation, they have all been duped. This despicable destructive act cannot be allowed to stand however to meet that demands of the will of the people it may be the serendipitous opportune moment needed to recognise that the democratic process must change. Such a change should be to full proportional representation, compulsory (maybe electronic) voting, the creation of a unifying constitution, predetermined unchangeable fixed term manifestos changeable only by referendum so making anything not contained within a manifesto ‘Ultra Vires’, an active regional distribution of wealth, some element of hypothecated tax take, an investment strategy for housing, industry, training, end to privatisation and its recuperation process. All the fevered hype will soon dissipate replaced by stark reality, party infighting and implacable angst. There will be a financial cost to bear that is unavoidable, if the ‘leaver’ cannot deliver a new achievable equitable vision soon to mollify the views wrapped by the voters in this referendum, any future election will be a salutary unpleasant affair for democracy.   

Never overestimate the breath of understanding of politics and its governmental responsibilities held by the British public and never underestimate its vitriolic rejection of sophisticated subtle political malfeasance; it may take a while for it to manifest particularly if the immigration issue is not addressed but a Rubicon may have been passed just now portrayed in this sorry affair by; resentment, disappointments, anger and potentially un-reciprocated high expectations.  

Europe is not and never has really been the problem, it's the fault of the UK’s disingenuous disconnected politicians but the dangerous contagion now expressed can only get worse for the UK and Europe if issues are not addressed fast, they (the leavers) are not in a strong position by any measures however consensus is not irretrievable if they see the abyss ahead.

One of the four horsemen has saddled up; pay attention to the hoofs beating. 

Referendum Final Results.

England             

Turnout      Leave    Votes          Remain    Votes            Differences

 73.0%:      53.4%    15,188,406. 46.6%      13,266,996    1,921,410 Leave

                           

N. Ireland            

Turnout

62.7%:       44.2%     349,442.       55.8%         440,707         91,265 Remain

Scotland             

Turnout

67.2%:       38.0%     1,018,322.     62.0%     1,661,191      7341,134 Remain

Wales                

Turnout

71.7%:      52.5%          854,572.    47.5%        772,347          82,225 Leave 

Nett votes for leave 1,269,501