Saving the Maybot.

“Brexit means Brexit”, “No deal is better than a bad deal”, “We seek a good deal that’s good for the UK and good for Europe”, “A fair deal that’s.... etc” Well one can get the idea if one has been following the debacle that is Brexit negotiations but as yet no one has had the audacity to ask the simple question, again and again, will any deal be as good or better than what has gone before, after Brexit? Thus far and despite the deviant verbosity throw out by the psychotic, delusional, fanatical, radicalisation of the political Brexiteers; that want an absolute split from the EU, at whatever the cost to the current impoverished nation, nothing of any substantial connotation has been gained or has any significant ‘opportune trade security’ been firmly identified by them. There is a very vague vision of being open to the worlds trading opportunities without the dead hand of the EU and every country not directly already involved with the EU will be happy to take up beneficial trade terms with the UK and will not ask for anything in return! O, maybe free movement for their nationals and open access for any goods or services that they want to sell into an open UK market, without too many quality restrictions.

Well of course the UK will be extremely flexible to gain trade at any advantageous cost, although it is not defined just who will be the beneficiary recipient and what has to be made legally elastic not to run into or against EU regulations or WTO rules on all fronts, assuming that on any deal that is “good for Europe is also good for the UK”. Any intelligent opinion based on the existing tensions over the past two years after the damnable day, may assess that all is not well. The UK cannot simple walk away from honourable liabilities, the simplicity of breaking free from the EU, is not, as stated often “simple”. There is no clear sign that the worlds trade is beating a path to hitch up to the UK instead of the EU and with a potential ongoing overall cost to be out of the EU, the UK’s best market; the running cost deficit may be a conservative £40bn to £100bn per year. A self inflicted unnecessary outlay that the will of the people will have to pay, one way or another for probably decades.

For now there is more evidence that businesses are already shifting their administration focus to safeguard their trading positions or from being disadvantaged from the EU markets. The £ has been devalued by 17% since the Brexit vote alone, this is on top of the 20% loss after the 2007/8 liquidity crash and consumer costs have risen as a result but no matter, there may be short term issues to deal with after March 2019 assuming a ‘deal’ is made that avoids a catastrophic collapse in trust, services and trading functionality.      

The blind political arrogance that assumed an easy exist, with everything relating to trade and service provision remaining intact, the EC disregarding its core principles to accommodate the Brexit and no financial negative cost, has come to a shuddering reality impasse. And it is little wonder, for what has been unambiguous for while, glossed over by the brexit fanatics; the UK is a dependant consumer economy state with no substantial terrene resources, subservient on imports, sustained only by services, confidence trickery and illusory but inequitable growth optimism. The fanatic dogma of the ardent proponents of the sovereign independent brexiteers did not and still do not have anything to offer to accommodate reality as the exit date looms. There is no cohesive integrated support services architecture, no existing functional defined operational systems, no organisation; nothing to support the view that there is an immediate switchable technical solution to facilitate the import - export administrative tariff management that will be required outside a EU ‘free market’ and no clear definition of the complexity involved in the whole area of the diversity of trading activities across the range of the many businesses inter-trading functions, even moving to world trade rules. All of whom themselves now are beginning to realise the difficulties in replacing a borderless union of 45 years with a border; (no matter how ephemeral) to begin having technical solutions to the loss of borderless trade or a form of custom 'maxfax', NOTHING logistically is in place as preparations to mitigate what will be lost.

The general trend of anxiety is most evident in the brexiteers camp, negotiations are not going the way they would like; shown in the vitriolic venom spewed out by them onto any rebel of any deal that does not hold the EC to a rack of acquiesce to all the UK demands. It is now all the EC fault that negotiating are taking so long in not being amenable to the English / Welsh demands (the main camps of the will of the people) and it (EC) is objecting to giving the departure a good deal that will amount for the EU to rejecting all the founding principles of the EU/EC. Not acquiescing to keeping to the principles and core benefits of EU rules on borderless trade and services but agreeing to England enacting of the independence in all global trade with complete autonomy. A deal of such immense overall potent to the stability of the EU, for the zero cost / pain advantage to the UK is most unlikely. So, the game runs on and the harsh certainty is that the EU is in dominant position and in a better situation to withstand the economic stress of one member withdrawing. Even considering all the hype extolled by the affluent brexiteers of a ‘fabulous’ (?) future outside the EU; for the UK it will be a fraught, costly and a potentially disintegrating period. And there is no need to mention the quandary of the N. Ireland / S. Ireland accord, disingenuously disregarded by the affluent sociopathic harsh political proponents of Brexit.       

That there will be long term economic consequences and short term political theatricals seems no doubt, the main one of which is the situation of the PM. From the start of her premiership she has demonstrated little adept leadership skill. From the department in which she had complete control (the Home Office) with no obvious dissenters to her directions, to now sit in cabinet with clear dissenters to her script and the majority seeking a ‘hard Brexit’, gives no government cohesion, all caused by her own misjudgement in not laying out some disciplined direction to the unscrupulous self serving dishonourable challengers now seeking to depose her.

  

In some way it is fortunate that she is on the hockey now, she is not a rampant loony like that which surround her, from whom the UK has been saved thus far. Her task is to bring in an EU deal that does not unravel the economic bedrock that has been built up over forty years. It would seem that there is a majority of MPs that do not want a destructive hard deal however any final agreements will not be anywhere near the expansive foundations of what has gone before. The productive and financial markets are already considering the cost implications and they do not like the apparition of what they have to assess.       

In having to pick up the poison chalice of Brexit from the absconder Cameron, the job falls to her to make ‘the will of the people’ work, as she sees it, even  though there is absolutely no supporting evidence to offer guidance just on what basis ‘the will of the people’ was exercised or to what conclusive purpose. With the country and parliament being in a divisive state, each antagonist claims to have the unproven solution to what can be forcibly sequestrated as a ‘deal’. Although there is considerably more evidence now, after two years, that any deal will not be as economically robust or future proof to offer confidence to any new incoming government that holds to self reliance with trade and services sovereignty is going to be the path to a golden affluent future. Everything will be subject to uncertain GDP, debt / deficit defensive management. Without a decisive proletariat input to agree or not on the final outcome destination of the Brexit conflict, which seems unlikely, there will be problems a plenty.

In saving the Maybot she has to show that she is a driving force, doing what needs to be done for the sake of the whole country, demonstrate the she is not going to pander to the dogma of the Conservative Democratic Unionist Party, wholly resist a unbreakable Brexit, fight back against the party aristocracy popinjays populist or sack them and if need be have an election or a new peoples vote to ratify a definitive course of action. Given the poor direction she has shown so far, with no obvious demonstrative determination other than the pedantic uninspiring style and the distinct lack of control she has over the cabinet, it is difficult to see how she can survive beyond spring next year.

She is kept in place now solely as the acceptable scapegoat for “Brexit means Brexit”. A Conservative DUP self inflicted possibly economic terminal infection that no one else wants to take on, or will the other party, with their own divisions, find the task any easier up to an election fight. So one would say, on her performance so far, it is obvious that there is no saving the Maybot, the popinjays will have her out once they can stick onto her a deal, vaguely good or acceptable bad. It is unlikely but she could slam down her strongest card – put the decision back to the people, with an election. Now the will of the people know with some clarity just what Brexit means, with the impotence of government, it has to be the right thing to do. It is already evident that the radicalised affluent brexiteers will not want the will of the people to be tested; it is not in their dogmatic interest to risk democracy challenging their position. For them she is regrettably seen as an unsuitable leader, not whole heartedly committed to a hard Brexit but for the country at the time of her selection, by her party, she came from a bunch of equally incongruous pretenders to premiership that now want to bury her for the job.  

One can only think that after two years of mendacious political belligerence, most of it derived from a narrow cadre of members of parliament colluded and supported by vicious uninhibited paper and media barons that have been stunned by their success in their manipulation of the people for Brexit with their anti EU divisive rhetoric, with absolutely no preparatory planning for the peoples economy to the loss of UKs European unity; do not want to give such power up. They do not care what the cost is or to whom, democracy needs to be strengthened against such covert power.   

"Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities". Voltaire

© Renot

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