Monday, September 24, 2018

Maybot declares war

Well it is a bit early, although much as one has anticipated to actually meeting the next one; but the precursors to conflict are hardly going to be acknowledged and it is often in retrospect that causes of war are loosely understood yet at the same time of the precursors occurring are miss-interpretive and blindly overlooked. However the summit meeting of Salzburg in September between EU the heads of state with Maybot ended with the rush to exit from the laughter that unseeingly took place for the haranguing the Maybot dished out to them in effort to cajole the members to accept a known obviously unacceptable conditions re the “chequers plan” for the UK exist from the EU (Brexit). It was not received with any enthusiasm, highlighted when one member (French) denied any cherries picking and referred to some brexiteers as liars - lying to the people the UK in the unfolding of the referendum and propaganda hence since.

Somehow the Maybot has totally misinterpreted the direction the negotiations were heading, when it has been outstanding clear that her own ‘red lines’ and the EC stance would never meet up even leaving aside the discarding of the very important border issues. The problem with red lines is, if inevitably something crosses a red line, what the caveat reaction is (if there is one) that is not the result of blind ignorance, self deceit and wonton hubris. In this she is not alone.
It has never been so clearly laid out that the overhyped simplicity of leaving the EU club totally underestimated the implications of unravelling the close alignment on all issues, built over decades, can only end in disaster, for the UK. The EU is larger, stronger and much more integrated believing in the founding philosophy of the EU to the extent that all countries have united in maintaining the EU behind the EC negotiating. It simple cannot afford to have a declining member leave with every existing benefit that they have, wholly intact and still feed off the compact of the EU, without recognising the historic standing that underpins the whole EU/EC membership.

The assumption by England has always been that the EU needs the UK, mainly for its money into the pot of the EU, the overview security provision, its labour supply and the goods the EU countries sell into the UK but it came with resented constraining EU laws. The fact the EU is the UK's largest easy market outlet and provides a great deal of wealth was deeply undervalued against the supposed lack of sovereignty constantly spewed out by hard brexiteers. They may have a smile at the failing of the chequers plan and will no doubt be tripping out in the conservatives DU Party conference next week but this diabolic mess caused by them should not be allowed to go on, too much is at stake! 

The Maybot Downing Street statement last week, after the Salzburg meeting, was delivered castigating the treatment of her presentation and the attitude of members, was a ferociously intent repudiation of their stance and was more an attempt to pander to the brexiteers and hide the failure of any progress (yet again). In days gone by the venom expressed in that short speech and given the terror that is now existing in government of a no deal; it could well have been read as ‘this means war’. Those bloody foreigner dictating to the might of the UK, not giving the UK what it demands, need putting in their place!

Well Maybot has missed the whole point, the war, this economic war, has been lost already. The incompetence of UK’s political management with the EU over 30 years and the impoverishment of the country, that now can be readily seen, have brought the UK to this point. By any analysis; any deal will not be favourable to the UK economy. A hard and rapid exit will be unable to replace neither the loss of easy trade access, nor gain debatable new global trade deals or keep the good will of Europeans and financial markets are waiting to pounce.

When the Conservative DU Party is holding England to ransom, demanding special treatment for its own preference of leaving the EU alongside England and ignoring its own NI vote to remain, together with the Scotland vote of remaining in the EU, has all the indication of trouble. As much as the hard line brexiteers want to overlook and ignore the democratic choice of these provinces, just to pursue their long held mad wet dream; has absolutely no pain free exist. So war or not, there is unlikely to be a UK in 20 years, little old england will be of inconsequential worth on a world stage and considerable poorer but not for the rich popinjays.  
 
© Renot
249182011


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