Monday, December 10, 2018

Eidibus Martiis XX1X.

  Or on the Ides of March? +14

March is not really an inauspicious month, if one discounts the assignation of Julius or consider St Patrick’s day, St David’s day or that Spring begins, these are of more promising dates in use in March and in keeping with that well known phrase ‘beware the ides of march’ in this case the 15th of March; it was, with Rome, a time when debts must be paid as well as bumping off, in passing, undesirable powers.  Adding to these occurrences on March’s otherwise unremarkable aspect, this month is about to take on a whole new probable influencing inauspicious characteristic that will be given another memorable date in its own right alongside that other one of 23rd June 2016. What make the 29th of this month extremely important is the fact that for an absolutely fatuous constructed display of educated intelligent ignorance, applied to impress upon so many, leading to an act unparalleled in modern history and taken voluntary by millions of people of whom it has to be said were blithely unaware or with complete disregard for a multitude of wholly duplicitous reasons, were specifically convinced with what they were being asked to do. It may be a crass judgment and very disrespectful of the majority in their right to express an opinion, usually never asked for or given any powerful attention to by parliament however the answer although “advisory” was and is taken as a instruction too and by parliament to do what the decision indicates. It may be that a few knew precisely, with knowledgeable intent what the implication of their decision would mean but it is certain that most could only answer a blind ‘in’ or ‘out’ and that means they wanted and instructed a repudiation of everything related to the EU. As so inelegantly put by the Maybot “out means out”!

One would have rather hoped that this fume of exasperation would have been unnecessary by now as all that needs to said has been said on this inexcusable event of historical proportions however if there is any doubt that a country can display a willing complete disregard of rational analysis of its overall status and display  a functionality of madness  similar to that that mimics the atrocious behaviour and absurdities of public actions in Nazi Germany, Ruanda genocide, Cambodia – pol-pot, Yugoslavia, Syria; then surly an examination of the influences and implication of the active malfeasances and abuse of powers that a few individuals can have had in convincing a country to demonstrate a measure of gestalt insanity; then this impending date has to be one also of outstanding significance.

It must be now clear to everyone that has, over the past two and half years kept a consideration watch on the travail of the Maybot and parliament in the negotiations of the many practical, legal, sovereign and technical issues that are required in unbinding the links with the EU. That it carries immense risk and cost to the country and everyone that voted and more importantly for those that could not do so who will later be burden with the fruits of the will of the people. Of whom, by no stretch any imagined fantasy of applied intelligent knowledge, could anyone say the voters should have known, with precision just what the ramifications would possible be of that choice. This is abundantly obvious now with the torturous machination infesting parliament today having become alerted to the fact that “out” in an overall economic suicidal sense cannot mean out; the people, media and MP’s presiding for leaving were wrong.

If by some measure it could be divined that the leave choice was done on the basis of considerable applied knowledge of all the implication, risk and cost to be willingly bourn for the benefit of a substantial better future prosperity, then one could say it was a rational decision balanced against the negative elements of being in the EU that were blamed as a cause of the problems the UK faced over a time and leading up to the vote. However in this, it is more reasonable to suppose that the choice was made on the evidence of what was occurring in many county and metropolitan areas; of ruthless cuts and depletion of public resources, with a perception (probably rightly) that the governments of the wealthy autocratic south did not care about the suffering degradation being forced onto them; this was the only time, ever, when the people could make their feelings count and they naturally said “OUT” with the EU and YOU lot go with them!

One could then say this was the right choice but the domineering establishment did not like it and were not going to relinquish expressive administrative power to the idiosyncrasy of democracy too often again; seen now as being far too dangerous. So it is that, rather than recognise the great rift in wealth dispersal and the deliberate broad ranged privation that exist within the country, it is safer to work the diversionary tack of appeasing to the delusion that everything will be better outside of the EU once the UK gets all its controls back, while meeting the tenuous needs of “the will of the people”.

In order not to have to acknowledge the multiple dichotomy of interpretations behind the choice, many elements of constructing a “deal” to unburden from the EU have been examined to offer some measure of pretence that the leave choice has been honoured with the usual meaningless four tropes. Yet every angle of a leave deal is known now to have long standing latent problems and to be somewhat worse than remaining a partner to the EU.
Every stretch metaphor is being used to present the “deal” as a good deal built on the hyperbole of how well the economy has done over the past 10 years and since the referendum, against the disasters suggested by the remainers who were wrong then and still wrong now not to back the Maybot “deal” on offer to be voted on, on the 11th of December.  The deal satisfies no one on all points of contention in parliament, even though as a bad deal it does overthrow the Maybots once proffered “A no deal is better than a bad deal” and stymies a cliff edge hard exit, never the less the whole disgraceful Brexit machinations in the UK has moved it to become the deranged sick man of Europe as (england) has signed up for own eventual dissolution and a march to impoverishment. 

Well of course the UK could do better than expected outside the existing largest market it deals with by projecting itself onto a world stage but only by (and this is the intention) trashing: - trade commodity / quality restrictions, modernising all ‘unhelpful’ legislations, streamline employment cost, give business investment tax reduction, incentivise foreign investments, be extremely flexible and open to any business; to essentially, no matter what is needed, pricing the UK economy into any market! How else can it work? The economy has an 80/20 imbalance, the pound risk devaluation again, the interest rate is unsustainable low but could drop to zero (or be raised fast to support a falling pound) and no new trade deals can become operational until the ‘transition’ phase is over and no fresh trading probability can replace, in value or volume the existing large free flowing access to the EU markets.  

Currently on that fixed day in March for reasons that Maybot deemed expedient, primarily for the benefit of her troublesome renegade hard line brexiteers, the hasty date is set in law as the day the UK leaves the EU, dragging Scotland and N Ireland with it, to assume its own benighted sovereignty again but it is obeying the democratic instruction. That the whole process has been too hasty, from the launch of Art 50, to the vaporous exit deal gained in November to the likely rejection on December 11; (If it goes to parliamentary vote, one thinks that it may get passed due to the zealous need of the Conservative Democratic Unionist Party to hang together and avoid all the alternative threats) or onto the likely parliamentary amendment to be offensively negotiated up to and after the ‘transition’ stage for the exit date. It has been an extraordinary diabolic managed shambles driven by the desire to hold to the abused stupendous idea of the will of the people who were lied to, deceived, manipulated and deliberately ultimately ignored from any meaningful involvement in establishing a concluding ‘deal’.

It is clear government nor parliamentarians are any better at finding the bases of lasting agreements that are to be taken for the betterment of the whole of the nation and too many opportunist egos are working in their own interest. Now that it is known just what is at stake and with something that the Maybot has negotiated resembles a workable deal, it has to be a choice to seek a new meaningful vote on that deal, as it is patently clear that MP’s cannot agree. Failing this an election based around a hard exit (out means out) or exit the exit (stay in and fully participate), the risk is the answer may well be a similar one taken by all parties already on the basis of electorate fatigue, fuck it, it’s still divisive, do something, anything and it can be challenged again later.

In democracies it is well to hold to the idea that intelligent balanced people with an understanding of  how society functions and of the structures that support their existence with a grasp of how power is used on their behalf, would be a indication of a balance of displayed normality / diversity to take on reasonable judgements after all things have been evaluated however this is an illusion as it takes no account of visceral response to the actual milieu that impress upon those not immersed, or otherwise interested in democratic structures. So to think the country has an underlining equilibrium has little foundation: to now know that the country is divided and divisive in many different ways offers no comfort to think that beyond the ‘ides of march’ will arise a nation at peace with itself and flourish to gain generous dispersed prosperity for all.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  
© Renot

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