Thursday, November 11, 2021

Diminutive Gross englanders

Diminutive Gross englanders

The ignited problems are mounting up for little englanders that have pursued the path of exclusivity, for sovereignty under the guise of a general discredited and distorted democracy, satisfying the deluded ignorance from the world of global reality; seen in them absorbing deceptive pretentious spun into the tendentious fabrications that were freely captivated, by them, that presented a variety of insubstantial illusions onto which an indistinct abstract visionary future was to be hung. Probing diminutive uninformed thus far, does not elicit any embarrassment of being potentially erroneous in their judgment of the B word and having placed their patronage in liars to deliver their dreams, they seemed to want to reject unfolding actuality impacting a range of structural trade areas and travelling. For them in their B optimism, the future holds little fear, but what then is it likely to cost beyond the temporary agitations to sovereign realignment?

So far this past two years of B have been buried in the quagmire of Covid and it is likely to last for many more months to come as the danger of it is mitigated with vaccines and billions of financially electronic created funds are thrown at countering the impact. But as the country gets used to the idea that Covid will not be going away; it needs to re-establish some measures of what has passed for ‘normality’ pre pandemic and assess how it mutates to the future with the acceptability of absorbable deaths that will still allow the country to function. The disruptions it has caused, the fragility of civil systems, the altered alignment of working practices, the interdependence of all delivery systems and the economic vulnerability to governance and personal resource holdings together with the long term disengagements problems with implementing B, indicates more instability dangers are slowly being brought into focus which will persist and impact into a decade or two.

In some way an elements of a danger can be seen the comments being made by the chancellor ‘Rushie’ when he says; after being forced to fund the “furlough” scheme and provide a substantial financial backing to a number of business sectors (and buy off civil unrest) he cannot save all jobs or business via the governments free flowing largess. He, like some economist and media say that some business are not viable, some are and were zombie businesses with an uneconomic business model and inefficient employment, many of those jobs will go, when normality returns! This is the economist purist message in that inefficiency is destroyed in time of change and the resources “locked up” in that inefficiency is released to be picked up and used elsewhere. To some extent this may be true under normal aggregated commercial progresses that take time to mature out. It is assumed that in the past two years this ‘shakeout’ has accelerated this process with the requirement to keep business going and getting them to adapt to alternative efficiencies such as “working from home” “share resources,” “flexible staffing, time and production management,” “re-aligning labour loss requirements” (in place of foreign labour) all driven by government from the dictates of Covid policies and massive financial cover. Yet this depiction of zombie businesses needs to be put in practical context. Prior to 2020 there were many small, individual and self employed ’companies’ that were trading / working on the basis of ticking along, simply covering their cost, providing a service to someone somewhere and not accumulating much, if any, cash reserves; being reliant on a steady income stream for something that has a need to be done and may have been capable of continuing this way. They were paying their way (sort of) and employing people! This entire tenuous cash flow income stream, of activity just like all hospitality and entertainment was derailed by deliberate government action to shut them down, in some cases unnecessarily.

In no way should these small cash reliance businesses and the situations they work in be denigrated; it is valuable sources of additionality to the economy. Those being employed had income to spend even those on minimum wage or in the gig pool. Such service consumption resources are essential and all disposable income streams are still the spine of the UK economy. Now, along came Covid19 and the deliberate forced actions of the government with measures to control the deaths and spread. Had this not occurred would or will these 'companies' have continued to be trading at their 'subsistence' level keeping employment and aiding the economy flow? It is these government actions that are the root of the destroying many jobs and the scarcity of some flexible labour, it is unfortunate that these micro service activities are being disregarded, positioned as acceptable losses! Much of the impact of this with B and Covid, has shown a number of interrelated inherent social problems loosely wrapped in the idea of “the left behinds” and the wide incongruity of diversity income, wealth, affluence and class.

The inherent failing problems to and within the civil infrastructures, corporate and governance organisation, being shown up by the pandemic fight of 2020 have, in some respect had a long gestation period but it might be argued that the economic impacts to personal stability have been exacerbated by delusional dogmas of the cult of politicians hubris, isolated in their bubble state of londonistan, disengaged from the festering impoverishments upon which their edifice stands. It has played well to a strap minded audience, in the early decade, the idea that the credit crises was the fault of someone else’s administration with them neglecting to attached the steps taken to address it by the new. Steps which ideologically could not be done by the accuser administration, while at the same time confounding the nascent recovery with a wholly unnecessary decade of culpable systemic ruination in the cause of an extended monetarism canon, that had a direct impact on the severity of the civil systems impoverishments and the transference of private corporate risk / losses onto the public purse. Onto that period of economic decline is put the debt of Covid and the looming price tag of B. All now, in some economist sectors an admission of administrative mismanagement and the pursuit of ideological fervour incoherent from the changed global structural foundations upon which the little engenders have to rely on but are careless to abandon.

Now the UK economy is beginning to see its fragile position as the worlds 5th riches nation, carry a sum burden today 2021 of £2.21 trn (1.7trn on Jan 2020 and was 0.96 at Jan 2010, a rapid upwards trajectory) and perhaps due to political acts, points to a diminished ability to sustain its position as a global ‘player’ and afford the debt it has created racked up from 14 years off: CC, Austerity, Brexit sovereignty, Covid and extant outstanding political incompetence and government personnel lack of ability and dishonesty; casting aside political rules of governance for favouritism. Not that any of this matters, for as usual, in time, someone else will have to carry chalice of power in the future but it is already being loaded with the poisons of imminent staging events which repressive old dogmas, political party sophist ineptitude and delusion of historic magnificence powers, will not cure. Perhaps in some small way one lesson has been learnt that indicates the erosion of little englanders power and influence, and it is this:- In August 2021 America and its flunky england, carried out the most appalling failure of political foreign policy implementation debacle since the English / French / Israeli act of the Suez crises. After 20 years of involvement in the Afghanistan ‘theatre’, primarily sold on the basis of stopping terrorism and incidentally lifting the Afghans to a better life style (woman etc) concentrating on the main cities and the key country areas, some measure for stability against the insanity's of the ideology of Taliban's madness, was expensively achieved. Within a week of August both countries pulled out after telegraphing to the waiting infestation horde their intent to so, but not as quickly, as it turned out in a chaotic rush!

The question is just now what has been the value of the past 20 years of the ‘campaign’ in Afghanistan, has it been waste of wo/man power and resources? Does it indicate that England is not capable of conducting any form of conflict operation, on its own, ever again, too immediately fold, when the Americans say get out? This was the Bush and Blair swan song left to reverberate for 20 years and at some stage it had to end but not in a shambolic way that inevitably questions the value of the whole exercise that seemed to initially offer good civil results, with the placement of seeds of aspirations, the key component inserted into the civil population within the main cities. This had been given to the young and had taken on board the freedoms of a modernisation of society, women free to go about without the lease of male restrictions, education for both sexes, jobs, investments, some administrative stability, opportunity and hope of a developing civilised country. All of which is opposed by the ignorant, uneducated, bigoted, racist islamic homophobic misogynist gun tooting males; (anything left out?) so far proven to be incapable of any constructive or creative process wholly reliant for their power on the extremist radical interpretation of a toxic religion; archaic, dogma driven sharia indoctrination forced onto any enlightenment. From this debacle, the seeds of aspirations for the young and for females, now all gone, in less than 4 weeks to the Taliban!

It is a shameful devastation, for the civil structure to collapse so quickly. It must indicate that from the very start of the campaign there was no sociological understanding, no philosophical value binding the ingrained cultural diversity in and between the sects of Afghanistan, no in-depth spread of the powers needed to embed administrative structures using the regional diversity, too much reliance on bought corruption to feed the ‘gravy train’ of accomplishment illusions. Any ambition for improving the lot of Afghanistan funded by the west is now stopped and it is therefore highly likely that it will become the sundry terrorist corrupt dust basin, of central Asia with the Taliban in control incapable of unified civil oversight structures to care for their population. And little england can do nothing about it. It failed its war on terror!

Although one has used the Afghanistan fiasco as a measure of the inability of little england to be an independent world player, without reliance on the “special relationship” that only works one way, its ineffectiveness also show up in the nature of global trade deals landing into little englands pot. Thus far there has been none of any real significance. The Americas have said no thanks without taking down UK standards which then compromises the EU. EU has said read the small print on the deal you signed up to. Illegal immigration across the channel has increased and has fast become little englands problem (not France’s) to pay for and solve as a sovereign 3rd country. And little england is having difficulty in dictating ‘new interpretations’ to the B deal with the EU that keeps N. Ireland protocol meaningful, is also lost in the mountains of new documentations required to trade cross all newly created borders.

With this come the little englanders realisation that even attempting to disregard the Good Friday agreement that forms the essence of the protocol within the deal, runs up against the breaking of an international legally enforceable agreement and still not getting their way want to go further and invoke Article 16 of the B deal (which is allowed under specific and special circumstance). But it results in a disregard of B implementation aspects essential to fair trading from which it hoped that the EU will give up its ECJ oversight of any future trade conflict resolutions relating to B and give practically unfettered movement of goods between S. Ireland / N. Ireland and the UK with the rest of the EU. This is an outcome that is most improbable as it completely undermines the EU administrative influence on and with the member countries of the EU. And if invoked of necessity will have to cause corrective retaliation by the EU on ‘exports’ from the UK. Little england will then be in some difficulty.

From the very start of attempting to clarify the implementation of the B agreement and the inherent protocol, the little englanders have demonstrated a measure of bad faith, disingenuous actions, delusion and bullying incompetence to hide their lack of comprehension in the complexity and impact of getting B to work, as it is all wrapped in their own agreed and lauded deal. Now some begin to see how much the UK will lose and the inevitable cost of it, which is not likely to be balanced out by miniscule 3rd world trade deals or any deals which can avoid taking the EU, the largest, wealthy, economy and trading block of the main 4 in the world into account. (1) In this there are already signs that its nearest and best market is shifting its overall focus and why not? A disparaged customer is not going to put up with abuse from a petulant trader when there can be better suppliers elsewhere. Anyway for the moment little england has had its day in the worlds limelight acting as host for the recent COP26 hoping to get the world to sign up to stringent acts to reduce CO2 / Methane emissions. It tried its best, put on a show, entertained many country representatives but one does not think that anyone was persuaded to charge into economic penury against the strategic holdouts of China, Russia, India, Brazil, Saudi Arabia etc and they are happy to have others like england, EU and US lead the expensive GDP way. So englands COP26 may have been a valuable effort, but on its own, pressing forward with haphazard zero comprehensive policy impetus to limit CO2 / Methane can come with a price that will be difficult to carry off when GDP is under performing. A resounding success for COP26 appears unlikely, as unlikely as little england is to continue to be taken seriously as a influential power.

All of which comes at an unnecessary price stemming from intolerant incoherent hubristic decisions which little englanders will be paying for into their future dimming days.

Renot

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(1) ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/eu-position-in-world-trade/index_en.htm

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